As the UK grapples with post-Brexit realities, recent analysis by Plimsoll indicates that just over 1 in 3 British companies are at heightened risk of failure in 2025. A blend of economic aftershocks from the pandemic, geopolitical uncertainties, and input price inflation of the last couple of years, has compounded challenges for businesses, especially larger firms. According to Plimsoll, which applies its predictive model across 1,600 markets, 36% of British businesses now teeter in financial danger—up 6% on from 34% the previous year.
Historically, businesses that encounter unforeseen deteriorations in trading conditions on an already weak footing have been the most vulnerable, and this trend shows little sign of abating. Indeed, the risks appear concentrated among larger firms, with 41% of businesses holding over £50 million in assets now classified as financially "in danger" by Plimsoll. In contrast, smaller enterprises—though not immune to macroeconomic pressures—seem more resilient. SMEs, which tend to rely on more agile operations and localized markets, have weathered recent challenges better than many anticipated. However, retail and consumer-facing industries remain exposed to the pressures of rising costs, tight laborlabour markets, and potentially higher taxes.
Plimsoll’s research suggests that, in times of economic turbulence, early intervention can mean the difference between survival and failure. It warns that many of the companies identified as high-risk need to quickly boost shareholder capital or improve operational efficiency to stay afloat. The cost of inaction? Potential collapse.
Yet, the picture is not universally bleak. Plimsoll reports that the share of businesses rated as "Strong" held steady at 48%, illustrating that some companies are not only surviving but thriving despite the headwinds. As with any prevailing economic landscape, there are winners and losers. The key takeaway from the latest round of economic news is clear: well-managed firms endure, while those that fail to adapt risk becoming casualties of the evolving economic landscape.